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The author of ‘Gomorrah’ and ‘ZeroZeroZero’ has lived under police protection for over 20 years due to threats from the Neapolitan mafia
Recent tariffs imposed by President Trump are expected to fuel a surge in smuggling activities, creating a lucrative market for criminal organizations worldwide. The history of the United States offers insights into how economic decisions, such as tariffs, can lead to an increase in illegal trade.
Smuggling has long been a response to economic pressures, with criminal groups seizing opportunities to profit from higher prices. Trump’s tariffs are likely to stimulate this underground economy, attracting various criminal syndicates to exploit the new market.
From the Embargo Act of 1807 to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, US history is filled with examples of how tariffs can inadvertently fuel smuggling operations. As prices rise on a wide range of goods, criminal organizations are poised to capitalize on the demand for smuggled products.
The influx of illegal goods into the country is expected to rise, with criminal groups utilizing existing smuggling routes to bring in a variety of products. From counterfeit items to legally imported goods, the smuggling market is set to diversify and expand.
To combat this growing threat, increased controls at ports will be necessary. However, this could lead to delays in customs clearance, giving smugglers an advantage in exploiting faster ports for their operations.
It is clear that the impact of Trump’s tariffs goes beyond just economic consequences. The potential for increased smuggling poses a significant challenge to law enforcement and border security agencies.
As the smuggling market evolves, it may become increasingly difficult to distinguish between legal and illegal goods. Countries like China, with extensive port operations in Latin America, could use these facilities to disguise the origin of their products, further complicating enforcement efforts.
Despite these challenges, criminal organizations are adept at adapting to changing circumstances. The rise in smuggling activities may become a systemic issue, requiring a coordinated effort to address.
Ultimately, the consequences of Trump’s tariffs extend beyond economic considerations, highlighting the complex interplay between legal trade policies and illicit activities. The future of smuggling in America remains uncertain, with potential implications for law enforcement, border security, and international trade relations.