Authored by Andrew Korybko via substack,
Ukrainian President Zelensky recently unveiled the first five parts of his much-anticipated “Victory Plan” to the Rada, with three parts still kept secret. His speech can be viewed here and Reuters’ summary here.
Analysis of the plan reveals that it includes demands such as Ukraine joining NATO, joint missile interception with Russia, and hosting a non-nuclear deterrence package, among others. These demands are considered non-starters for NATO, as the bloc aims to avoid direct involvement in the conflict to prevent a potential World War III scenario.
Zelensky’s motives behind these demands remain unclear, with speculation that he may be hinting at future escalations or setting the stage for a “stab-in-the-back” narrative. The possibility of a nuclear provocation or an attack on Belarus has been raised as potential scenarios.
It is suggested that Zelensky may be seeking to leverage Ukraine’s critical mineral resources as a bargaining chip with the G7 to fulfill his military demands. However, the West’s concerns over escalating tensions with Russia, a nuclear power, may hinder any potential agreements.
Overall, Zelensky’s unveiled plan hints at underlying motives and potential strategies, indicating a complex geopolitical landscape in the ongoing conflict.
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