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Home»Crypto»XRP’s $1.54 breakout test meets Ripple’s 1B token unlock – Can demand absorb supply?
Crypto

XRP’s $1.54 breakout test meets Ripple’s 1B token unlock – Can demand absorb supply?

October 2, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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XRP’s price action is currently consolidating within a narrowing structure, with buyers defending rising support levels and sellers capping price rebounds. Following a peak at $1.665, Ripple [XRP] experienced a downward trend, forming lower highs towards $1.55.

The rising support levels have successfully countered declines in the $1.45-$1.47 range, maintaining the short-term recovery momentum. XRP is currently trading around $1.4916, near the lower boundary of the triangle pattern.

The upcoming breakout is crucial as it will determine whether the recovery continues or reverses.

Source: TradingView

Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 46.02 indicates neutral to slightly bearish momentum for XRP, despite strong buying pressure. A breakthrough above $1.54 could pave the way for a potential recovery towards $1.70 or higher.

A breach below the rising support levels would signal a weakening setup. For now, XRP remains trapped between tightening resistance and persistent support.

Evernorth’s Impact on XRP’s Institutional Demand

The introduction of Evernorth as a new demand source for XRP is affecting its tightening price range. Evernorth’s plan to list XRP on the Nasdaq exchange will place approximately 566 million XRP into a treasury backed by over $1.1 billion in capital.

Source: X

This development is significant as institutional capital can provide long-term support for XRP demand, potentially balancing short-term trading demand.

Additionally, Ripple has unlocked an additional one billion XRP in four batches, which could impact the overall supply dynamics of XRP.

Source: Onchain Lens

The outcome hinges on whether the newly unlocked XRP is absorbed by institutional demand and how much of it enters exchanges.

If Evernorth directs capital towards XRP while keeping supply off exchanges, it could stabilize prices by meeting demand.

XRP’s Potential Breakout at $1.54

XRP’s price is currently range-bound within a contracting structure, with buyer support increasing but seller resistance remaining. Despite reaching $1.665, XRP formed lower highs towards $1.55.

The presence of supply above current levels is evident. Ripple’s recent release of 1 billion XRP adds another layer to the supply dynamics.

A significant portion of the monthly release may return to escrow, limiting the coins available for trading and emphasizing the importance of post-release fund flows into exchanges.

Should exchange balances remain stable post-release, buyers should absorb the current XRP supply without disruption.

A decisive breakout above $1.54 would shift focus to the next resistance at $1.70. Failure to breach $1.54 could lead to a stalemate in upward momentum.


Key Points:

  • XRP price tests $1.54, with $1.70 ahead if buyers break resistance.
  • XRP faces Evernorth demand against fresh Ripple supply.

following sentence:

The quick brown fox jumps over the lazy dog.

The fast brown fox leaps over the lethargic dog.

absorb Breakout demand meets Ripples Supply test Token unlock XRPs
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