Authored by Gregory Copley via The Epoch Times,
Concerns about the security of maritime energy traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have overshadowed the unresolved issue of Red Sea security, which is becoming increasingly dynamic.
The Red Sea–Suez link between the Mediterranean and the Indian Ocean is of equal strategic importance to global trade as the Hormuz choke point and is, through geography and common players, intrinsically linked with the Persian Gulf conflict.
Ethiopia’s civil war has been brewing for decades and is gaining momentum, with the Amhara Fano opposition groups uniting against the government of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali. This development has significant implications for the region.
There is a possibility that Ethiopia could regain its historical influence over the Red Sea–Suez sea line of communication (SLOC).
The conflicts within Ethiopia have escalated to a new level, with various factions vying for power and control. The united front presented by the Amhara Fano National Movement poses a threat to Abiy’s government.
Abiy’s ties with foreign governments like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and China have influenced the dynamics of the region. Egypt’s involvement in supporting Ethiopian regional independence groups adds another layer of complexity to the situation.
It is crucial to note that Ethiopia’s internal conflicts have largely gone unnoticed by the international community due to limited foreign news coverage. However, the implications of these conflicts extend beyond Ethiopia’s borders.
Turkey’s increasing presence in the region, particularly in Somalia, raises concerns about its strategic interests.
The AFNM’s focus on representing all Ethiopian ethnicities and regions, not just the Amhara people, indicates a broader agenda. However, the lack of clarity on economic and strategic policies raises questions about the group’s long-term vision.
Despite internal support from Eritrea and some Tigrean elements, the AFNM faces challenges in defining its path to power. The ongoing power struggle in Ethiopia could have far-reaching consequences for the region.
As the situation in the Horn of Africa unfolds, the world remains largely unaware of the conflicts brewing in the region.
Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times or ZeroHedge.
